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SPP 271

Author: Richard Rose, Evgeny Tikhomirov and William Mishler
Description: This article tests under what circumstances and to what extent theories of voting in established democracies apply in the abnormal circumstances of the 1995 multi-party Duma election. It also tests hypotheses specific to the dramatic regime change that has occurred in Russia. The first section reviews questions of theory and method relevant to the study of voting, comparatively and in Russia. Three succeeding sections examine the relation between party choice and social structure, economic circumstances and political attitudes, using data from the fifth New Russia Barometer survey of January, 1996. The following sections use multivariate statistical techniques to test the combined impact of all the influences on votes for nine major parties winning Duma seats, and compare and contrast well defined and "fuzzy focus" Russian parties.

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CSPP School of Government & Public Policy U. of Strathclyde Glasgow G1 1XQ Scotland