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SPP 429

Author: Richard Rose
Description: The more important Vladimir Putin is said to be for mobilizing support for the Russian regime, the greater the potential void when he leaves office. This article empirically tests the impact that Vladimir Putin has had on public opinion through an original analysis of New Russia Barometer data. After reviewing the multiple roles of a president, it reports how the Russian public has evaluated President Putin's popularity during his period in office. It then tests the extent to which this evaluation has added to support for the Federation regime. Since the statistical tests show that the main determinants of support are the economy and the performance of political institutions, it concludes that the second turnover of control by Putin's departure from the Kremlin will meet Samuel Huntington's requirement for consolidating the institutions of the Russian Federation.

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Postal Address:    CSPP Publications, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, G1 1XQ, UK

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CSPP School of Government & Public Policy U. of Strathclyde Glasgow G1 1XQ Scotland